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Less than a month remains until Election Day, and it appears Donald Trump is stuck in neutral at the polls. However, those same polls seem to indicate that Kamala Harris is also spinning her wheels furiously, which means Trump may have just enough momentum to pull off the win. ABC News Political Analyst Steve Roberts appeared on 710 WOR’s Len Berman and Michael Riedel in the Morning program to lay out the path that Kamala Harris needs to traverse if she wants to earn her promotion at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.
“The website RealClear Politics averages all national polls--Donald Trump [gets] 46.9 per cent,” Roberts told Berman and Riedel. “Four years ago, Donald Trump got 46.9 percent, down to the exact decimal point. That tells me that MAGA Nation is totally fervent, totally committed, and they’re stuck below 47 percent. The key variable here is, can Kamala Harris turn out the fringe Democratic voters who did not turn out for Hillary in ’16 and therefore she thinks she lost, [but] did turn out for Biden in 2020. Is this ’16 or’20? What’s the model?”
Harris is therefore running her campaign, Roberts says, in an effort to convince Democrats, not undecided voters, to put her over the top on November 5th. “The Trump base is totally secure. The issue is, can she turn out fringe Democrats who are disillusioned with Biden and unhappy with inflation. This is the whole ballgame here. It’s not persuasion; it’s motivation. I think that, while she’s done a good job, there’s a telling problem that she has, because she’s running about 2 per cent behind where Biden was four years ago. She’s underperforming with black men, she’s underperforming with Latinos, and the issue landscape continues to favor Trump.”
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